Dynamic Chiropractic – January 15, 2010, Vol. 28, Issue 02
Study Confirms Flaws in Standard MVC Defense Strategy
By Arthur Croft, DC, MS, MPH, FACO
  
The
 seemingly complex, or perhaps even inscrutable, calculus of what  
practitioners term personal injury is, in truth, deceptively simple.  
However, while it keeps getting simpler, many practitioners and lawyers 
 feel hopelessly wrapped around the axle of this puzzling system. The 
net  result is abandonment of needful patients and clients, with a  
corresponding loss of revenue stream. Consider just a few facts. Motor  
vehicle collisions are a leading cause of injury in the U.S. and  
constitute one of our most burdensome public health dilemmas. With 3  
million such injuries each year, a total recovery proportion of only  
about 50 percent, a permanent disability proportion of 10-12 percent,  
coupled with the fact that many of the injured are young and have many  
quality life years to lose, the $43 billion annual price tag is hardly  
surprising.1
Auto insurers make every reasonable effort to insulate 
themselves  from their liability. Some would argue that they engage in 
efforts most  of us would consider unreasonable, if not downright 
unsavory or  unethical. Regardless of your personal judgment, most would
 agree that  over the past two decades, the insurers’ concerted and very
 expensive  campaign to limit claims has been fairly successful.
With
 Allstate taking the vanguard position with their now-famous  three Ds –
 delay, deny, and defend – most major auto insurers have since  
instituted similar policies, and the plaintiff persona-injury bar has  
more often withered than weathered. With a loss of potential legal  
representation, plaintiffs have had fewer alternatives for compensation.
  This often has meant that needed health care resources are simply not 
 available to them, which contributes further to the doleful outcome  
statistics mentioned above. Since inaugurating its get-tough policy in  
the mid-1990s, which was described by its consulting firm as a  
transition “from good hands to boxing gloves,” Allstate has reportedly  
posted surprising high profits.2 Other insurers have not failed to  
notice.
The Standard Defense and the Importance of Delta V
How 
could any of this possibly be simple? One need look no further  than the
 essential game plan of most defense lawyers: deception,  dissimilation 
and obfuscation. It requires a team of experts from the  fields of 
medicine (including chiropractic), accident reconstruction and  
biomechanics who have collectively developed what I consider to be the  
standard defense strategy. It continues to be the most successful and  
widely used strategy today, having become the world standard.
This 
has fostered a small research industry dedicated to the  production of 
pro-defense literature to aid in the cause. Most is junk  science. Make 
no mistake, insurers have the best researchers money can  buy and they 
know how to get published. As a result, even many  clinicians remain 
split on critical issues depending on which brand of  literature they 
rely upon. I note, with all due respect to the Insurance  Institute for 
Highways Safety (IIHS) and members of the International  Insurance 
Whiplash Protection Group (IIWPG), that their research  activities are 
quite laudatory and most welcome. However, there is just a  bit of 
schizophrenia in this industry when it comes to research. While  the 
valid research of the IIHS and the IIWPG is squarely aimed at  reducing 
the industry payout problem by reducing the number of actual  injuries, 
the “other” research seems to be aimed at providing  verisimilitude for 
company experts to wield in courtrooms to sway jurors  toward defense 
theories.
The standard defense has three parts and is based on the 
ultimate  playing field: a court of law, and, in particular, the biases 
and  naivete (i.e., the normal lack of specific factual information in 
the  field of crash traumatology) of jurors. Polls suggest that 
Americans are  also divided on the question of whiplash injuries. As 
many as 60-70  percent consider it either definitively or very likely a 
non-injury, but  merely an opportunity to bilk insurers at the expense 
of the rest of us  policy-holders who subsidize the system through the 
increasing premiums  we must pay. Thus, jurors are easily misled by the 
standard defense  strategy because it merely reinforces that which they 
already believe.
The first and most fundamental part of this strategy
 is to  demonstrate that the forces of the collision would not have been
 of a  sufficient magnitude to cause injury. The common currency for 
this  discussion is the plaintiff vehicle’s delta V or change in 
velocity. For  this, an accident reconstructionist is usually employed. 
Because  reconstructionists are rarely allowed to provide opinions as to
 injury  risk, they are often followed by a biomechanist, who is granted
 more  latitude to venture into the discussion of injury risk. In some 
cases,  they are allowed to consider medical records, MRIs, etc., in 
forming  their opinions. Finally, the defense physician (DC, DO or MD) 
adds the  icing to the cake, testifying that either there was no injury 
or that  there was a minor straining-type injury that has long since 
resolved.
When pre-existing conditions are present, the plaintiff’s 
complaints  are often attributed to them rather than the injury. Company
 doctors  will typically also be of the opinion that a large portion of 
the  medical expenses claimed by the plaintiff are unnecessary,  
unreasonable,and represent unwarranted treatment and diagnostics. Note  
that low back injuries are virtually never admitted to be causally  
related to low-velocity collisions. I have written a paper on this  
subject which is available upon e-mail request at drcroft@san.rr.com .3
As
 I have so many times implored readers – and this fact is never  
contested even by my small army of industry-affiliated detractors – the 
 entire defense mechanism just described is nothing more than a series 
of  interlocking nonsequiturs. The accident reconstructions and  
biomechanists provide a very polished and seemingly airtight argument  
based on what appear to be sound mathematical principles and classical  
Newtonian physics. This is all very interesting, and would be even more 
 so if it had the additional virtue of being true.
Delta V Not a Valid Gauge of Injury Risk?
But
 figures don’t always add up, which brings me back to the headline  of 
this article. A new study that provides further compelling evidence  
that delta V, the keystone in the standard defense strategy, is not a  
valid gauge of injury risk.4 The authors recruited a total of 57 people 
 within 48 hours of their MVCs. The subjects were recruited either from 
 an engineer’s office for vehicle damage assessment or an ER. The  
whiplash grades ranged from 0-4 (0 indicating no claimed injury and 4  
indicating fracture). The collision types included 13 frontal, 21 rear, 
 19 side, three multiple crashes and one rollover. There were 25 males  
and 32 females with a median age of 33.
In all cases a trained 
engineer determined the delta V by examining  both crash vehicles. The 
VAS and Neck Disability Indexes (NDI) scores  were tabulated. The 
authors found no significant correlation between NDI  and delta V, no 
correlation between whiplash grade and delta V, and  only a moderate 
correlation between VAS reported pain and delta V.  However, the R2 
value (coefficient of determination) for that  correlation was only 
0.30, which means that 70 percent of the proportion  of the variability 
of pain severity was not explained by differences in  delta V.
There 
was no lower threshold below which a large proportion would  predictably
 not be injured, nor was there an upper threshold above which  most 
would predictably be injured. This was because some people were  injured
 in very low velocity crashes while others were not injured  despite 
fairly high velocity crashes. The authors commented, “It can be  
concluded that delta V is an irrelevant predictive value for cervical  
spine injury after MVA [motor vehicle accident].”
Some specific 
findings include the following: Cervical spine  fractures in frontal 
crashes occurred in delta Vs of 9.3, 19.9 and 31.1  mph. Fractures in 
side impacts occurred in delta Vs of 6.2 (z-joint  fracture of C4), 9.9 
(C7 with dislocation of C6-7), 19.9 (z-joint  fracture of C2), 31.1 (C5 
fracture with C5-6 dislocation and  paraplegia), 32.3 (rupture of alar 
ligaments), 36.0 (atlantoaxial  dislocation) and 36.6 mph (rupture of 
alar ligaments). There was a dens  fracture in the one rollover with the
 delta V reported as 9.3 mph. This  article is available for free 
download at  www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2657117.
A related 
component of the standard defense strategy is the property  damage 
issue. Specifically, the argument goes, when the property damage  is 
minor, an injury is very unlikely. We addressed this issue earlier in  a
 meta-analysis of medical and engineering literature dating back as  far
 as 1970 that failed to provide a clear link between property damage  
and any of three outcomes: risk for acute injury, degree of injury  
severity and risk for long-term symptoms.5 As I always caution readers, 
 this lack of correlation considers the genre of collisions producing  
property damage that would be described as minor or non-severe. Clearly,
  when crash severity increases beyond this, there is an increased risk 
 for injury or death.
A related interesting paper by Viano and 
Parenteau demonstrated that  more than 60 percent of the National 
Automotive Sampling System case  database for rear impacts are for 
crashes with delta Vs of under 15 mph.  They noted, “In very low speed 
crashes, advanced age, stenosis and  degeneration of the cervical spinal
 canal can lead to spinal cord injury  and paralysis in crashes 
otherwise not causing injury in normal  adults.”6 I would also note that
 it has been demonstrated rather  conclusively that human variables 
(i.e., risk factors) are more  determinative vis-a-vis injury risk than 
crash metrics in the lower  crash-severity range.
In the end, when 
essential parts of the foundation of the defense  strategy are tested, 
they repeatedly fail to hold up to the scrutiny of  hard science. In a 
court of law, however, if the plaintiff and their  experts cannot 
effectively present the real facts and rebut the junk  science, 12 
impressionable jurors will decide the outcome of the case  based on 
their perception of the soundness of the arguments they heard.  The 
simple fact is that more often than not, the plaintiff and their  
witnesses are simply not adequately prepared. Knowledge is power and  
information is the currency of success.
References
Zaloshnja E, 
Miller T, Council F, Persaud B. Comprehensive and human  capital crash 
costs by maximum police-reported injury severity within  selected crash 
types. Annu Proc Assoc Adv Automot Med, 2004;48:251-63.
Berardinelli DJ. From Good Hands to Boxing Gloves: The Dark Side of Insurance. Portland: Trial Guides, LLC, 2008.
Croft AC. Low back injuries in low velocity rear impact collisions. Forum, 2009;39(4):33-7.
Elbel
 M, Kramer M, Huber-Lang M, et al. Deceleration during “real life”  
motor vehicle collisions: a sensitive predictor for the risk of  
sustaining a cervical spine injury? Patient Saf Surg, 2009;3(1):5.
Croft
 AC, Freeman MD. Correlating crash severity with injury risk,  injury 
severity, and long-term symptoms in low velocity motor vehicle  
collisions. Medical Science Monitor, 2005;11(10):RA316-21.
Viano DC, Parenteau CS. Serious injury in very low and very high speed rear impacts. SAE, 2008;2008-01-1485.
 
 
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