Dynamic Chiropractic – January 15, 2010, Vol. 28, Issue 02
Study Confirms Flaws in Standard MVC Defense Strategy
By Arthur Croft, DC, MS, MPH, FACO
The seemingly complex, or perhaps even inscrutable, calculus of what
practitioners term personal injury is, in truth, deceptively simple.
However, while it keeps getting simpler, many practitioners and lawyers
feel hopelessly wrapped around the axle of this puzzling system. The
net result is abandonment of needful patients and clients, with a
corresponding loss of revenue stream. Consider just a few facts. Motor
vehicle collisions are a leading cause of injury in the U.S. and
constitute one of our most burdensome public health dilemmas. With 3
million such injuries each year, a total recovery proportion of only
about 50 percent, a permanent disability proportion of 10-12 percent,
coupled with the fact that many of the injured are young and have many
quality life years to lose, the $43 billion annual price tag is hardly
surprising.1
Auto insurers make every reasonable effort to insulate themselves from
their liability. Some would argue that they engage in efforts most of
us would consider unreasonable, if not downright unsavory or
unethical. Regardless of your personal judgment, most would agree that
over the past two decades, the insurers’ concerted and very expensive
campaign to limit claims has been fairly successful.
With Allstate taking the vanguard position with their now-famous three
Ds – delay, deny, and defend – most major auto insurers have since
instituted similar policies, and the plaintiff persona-injury bar has
more often withered than weathered. With a loss of potential legal
representation, plaintiffs have had fewer alternatives for compensation.
This often has meant that needed health care resources are simply not
available to them, which contributes further to the doleful outcome
statistics mentioned above. Since inaugurating its get-tough policy in
the mid-1990s, which was described by its consulting firm as a
transition “from good hands to boxing gloves,” Allstate has reportedly
posted surprising high profits.2 Other insurers have not failed to
notice.
The Standard Defense and the Importance of Delta V
How could any of this possibly be simple? One need look no further
than the essential game plan of most defense lawyers: deception,
dissimilation and obfuscation. It requires a team of experts from the
fields of medicine (including chiropractic), accident reconstruction
and biomechanics who have collectively developed what I consider to be
the standard defense strategy. It continues to be the most successful
and widely used strategy today, having become the world standard.
This has fostered a small research industry dedicated to the
production of pro-defense literature to aid in the cause. Most is junk
science. Make no mistake, insurers have the best researchers money can
buy and they know how to get published. As a result, even many
clinicians remain split on critical issues depending on which brand of
literature they rely upon. I note, with all due respect to the
Insurance Institute for Highways Safety (IIHS) and members of the
International Insurance Whiplash Protection Group (IIWPG), that their
research activities are quite laudatory and most welcome. However,
there is just a bit of schizophrenia in this industry when it comes to
research. While the valid research of the IIHS and the IIWPG is
squarely aimed at reducing the industry payout problem by reducing the
number of actual injuries, the “other” research seems to be aimed at
providing verisimilitude for company experts to wield in courtrooms to
sway jurors toward defense theories.
The standard defense has three parts and is based on the ultimate
playing field: a court of law, and, in particular, the biases and
naivete (i.e., the normal lack of specific factual information in the
field of crash traumatology) of jurors. Polls suggest that Americans
are also divided on the question of whiplash injuries. As many as
60-70 percent consider it either definitively or very likely a
non-injury, but merely an opportunity to bilk insurers at the expense
of the rest of us policy-holders who subsidize the system through the
increasing premiums we must pay. Thus, jurors are easily misled by the
standard defense strategy because it merely reinforces that which they
already believe.
The first and most fundamental part of this strategy is to demonstrate
that the forces of the collision would not have been of a sufficient
magnitude to cause injury. The common currency for this discussion is
the plaintiff vehicle’s delta V or change in velocity. For this, an
accident reconstructionist is usually employed. Because
reconstructionists are rarely allowed to provide opinions as to injury
risk, they are often followed by a biomechanist, who is granted more
latitude to venture into the discussion of injury risk. In some cases,
they are allowed to consider medical records, MRIs, etc., in forming
their opinions. Finally, the defense physician (DC, DO or MD) adds the
icing to the cake, testifying that either there was no injury or that
there was a minor straining-type injury that has long since resolved.
When pre-existing conditions are present, the plaintiff’s complaints
are often attributed to them rather than the injury. Company doctors
will typically also be of the opinion that a large portion of the
medical expenses claimed by the plaintiff are unnecessary,
unreasonable,and represent unwarranted treatment and diagnostics. Note
that low back injuries are virtually never admitted to be causally
related to low-velocity collisions. I have written a paper on this
subject which is available upon e-mail request at drcroft@san.rr.com .3
As I have so many times implored readers – and this fact is never
contested even by my small army of industry-affiliated detractors – the
entire defense mechanism just described is nothing more than a series
of interlocking nonsequiturs. The accident reconstructions and
biomechanists provide a very polished and seemingly airtight argument
based on what appear to be sound mathematical principles and classical
Newtonian physics. This is all very interesting, and would be even more
so if it had the additional virtue of being true.
Delta V Not a Valid Gauge of Injury Risk?
But figures don’t always add up, which brings me back to the headline
of this article. A new study that provides further compelling evidence
that delta V, the keystone in the standard defense strategy, is not a
valid gauge of injury risk.4 The authors recruited a total of 57
people within 48 hours of their MVCs. The subjects were recruited
either from an engineer’s office for vehicle damage assessment or an
ER. The whiplash grades ranged from 0-4 (0 indicating no claimed
injury and 4 indicating fracture). The collision types included 13
frontal, 21 rear, 19 side, three multiple crashes and one rollover.
There were 25 males and 32 females with a median age of 33.
In all cases a trained engineer determined the delta V by examining
both crash vehicles. The VAS and Neck Disability Indexes (NDI) scores
were tabulated. The authors found no significant correlation between
NDI and delta V, no correlation between whiplash grade and delta V,
and only a moderate correlation between VAS reported pain and delta V.
However, the R2 value (coefficient of determination) for that
correlation was only 0.30, which means that 70 percent of the
proportion of the variability of pain severity was not explained by
differences in delta V.
There was no lower threshold below which a large proportion would
predictably not be injured, nor was there an upper threshold above
which most would predictably be injured. This was because some people
were injured in very low velocity crashes while others were not
injured despite fairly high velocity crashes. The authors commented,
“It can be concluded that delta V is an irrelevant predictive value
for cervical spine injury after MVA [motor vehicle accident].”
Some specific findings include the following: Cervical spine fractures
in frontal crashes occurred in delta Vs of 9.3, 19.9 and 31.1 mph.
Fractures in side impacts occurred in delta Vs of 6.2 (z-joint
fracture of C4), 9.9 (C7 with dislocation of C6-7), 19.9 (z-joint
fracture of C2), 31.1 (C5 fracture with C5-6 dislocation and
paraplegia), 32.3 (rupture of alar ligaments), 36.0 (atlantoaxial
dislocation) and 36.6 mph (rupture of alar ligaments). There was a dens
fracture in the one rollover with the delta V reported as 9.3 mph.
This article is available for free download at
www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2657117.
A related component of the standard defense strategy is the property
damage issue. Specifically, the argument goes, when the property damage
is minor, an injury is very unlikely. We addressed this issue earlier
in a meta-analysis of medical and engineering literature dating back
as far as 1970 that failed to provide a clear link between property
damage and any of three outcomes: risk for acute injury, degree of
injury severity and risk for long-term symptoms.5 As I always caution
readers, this lack of correlation considers the genre of collisions
producing property damage that would be described as minor or
non-severe. Clearly, when crash severity increases beyond this, there
is an increased risk for injury or death.
A related interesting paper by Viano and Parenteau demonstrated that
more than 60 percent of the National Automotive Sampling System case
database for rear impacts are for crashes with delta Vs of under 15
mph. They noted, “In very low speed crashes, advanced age, stenosis
and degeneration of the cervical spinal canal can lead to spinal cord
injury and paralysis in crashes otherwise not causing injury in normal
adults.”6 I would also note that it has been demonstrated rather
conclusively that human variables (i.e., risk factors) are more
determinative vis-a-vis injury risk than crash metrics in the lower
crash-severity range.
In the end, when essential parts of the foundation of the defense
strategy are tested, they repeatedly fail to hold up to the scrutiny of
hard science. In a court of law, however, if the plaintiff and their
experts cannot effectively present the real facts and rebut the junk
science, 12 impressionable jurors will decide the outcome of the case
based on their perception of the soundness of the arguments they heard.
The simple fact is that more often than not, the plaintiff and their
witnesses are simply not adequately prepared. Knowledge is power and
information is the currency of success.
References
Zaloshnja E, Miller T, Council F, Persaud B. Comprehensive and human
capital crash costs by maximum police-reported injury severity within
selected crash types. Annu Proc Assoc Adv Automot Med, 2004;48:251-63.
Berardinelli DJ. From Good Hands to Boxing Gloves: The Dark Side of Insurance. Portland: Trial Guides, LLC, 2008.
Croft AC. Low back injuries in low velocity rear impact collisions. Forum, 2009;39(4):33-7.
Elbel M, Kramer M, Huber-Lang M, et al. Deceleration during “real life”
motor vehicle collisions: a sensitive predictor for the risk of
sustaining a cervical spine injury? Patient Saf Surg, 2009;3(1):5.
Croft AC, Freeman MD. Correlating crash severity with injury risk,
injury severity, and long-term symptoms in low velocity motor vehicle
collisions. Medical Science Monitor, 2005;11(10):RA316-21.
Viano DC, Parenteau CS. Serious injury in very low and very high speed rear impacts. SAE, 2008;2008-01-1485.
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